Exits Blocked & The Real Pain Begins

Sorry, for not posting- hopefully I'm not needed to shout fire anymore. Peter Schiff has another great update video about what's likely the next leg down.

To recap- We all know about dramatic fall in asset prices, the pain from the debt bubble and the dramatic rise in unemployment. But it really looks like the real pain is just getting started.

The near total collapse of the private economy has been offset so far by a dramatic increase in federal spending that we only thought we could afford. The initial Lehman shock caused a massive pull back from almost every asset class except super duper safe-- US government debt which allowed team Obama to cheaply- if temporarily push out trillions in new bonds most of which are short term notes.

Meanwhile our real ability to pay off this debt has gotten much worse.

"The numbers could hardly be more stark: Tax receipts are on pace to drop 18 percent this year, the biggest single-year decline since the Great Depression, while the federal deficit balloons to a record $1.8 trillion.(or more)

Other figures in an Associated Press analysis underscore the recession's impact: Individual income tax receipts are down 22 percent from a year ago. Corporate income taxes are down 57 percent. Social Security tax receipts could drop for only the second time since 1940, and Medicare taxes are on pace to drop for only the third time ever."

As foreign economies seem to be leading the recovery, the conditions which made finacing the U.S debt so easy are going into reverse- exposing the country to far higher interest rates-- or galloping inflation.Our rising market has underperformed most and in fact has hardly kept up with the rapid decline in the dollar's value.

The March To Fascism And How To Stop It

People know I've been beating the drum, warning of the Fascist trends in our government which have been building for years and are reaching a crisis.

Jack Gildern did a much better post on this subject than I have called Fascism: Foolish Fallacy Or Frightening Fact. I urge you to read it-please.

He starts with a simple definition of Fascism.

Here is the literal definition of Fascism:
fas⋅cism [fash-iz-uhm]
–noun
1. A governmental system led by a dictator having complete power, forcibly suppressing opposition and criticism, regimenting all industry, commerce, etc., and emphasizing an aggressive nationalism and often racism.
2. The philosophy, principles, or methods of fascism.

Of course, we haven't reached this level yet. Exactly when one says something that walks like a duck and quacks like a duck can be described as a duck is always a judgement call. The problem is--- This is not a duck we are talking about here-- It's Fascism!-- or perhaps some other brand of totalitarianism. We test and test for cancer in a way we don't for colds because- it's a deadly and often fatal disease and when we find it we try to kill it and cut it out. (no that was not just a call to kill the president. Our troubles go much deeper than one man. He was actually elected)

I made two comments that prescribe what I think might be the quickest and most effective way to stop this train and get people to think. You need to read the post and comments for context.

Comment One

"One of the best posts on here ever. I think one of the biggest factors at work here is what Hitler called the big lie. Admiting just how bad, Obama is means confronting our own guilt for having elected him and going deeper into just how the government got this out of control means looking at almost a century of guilt.

We as American's as whole- not all, have betrayed our founders and the basic ideals and foundations our country was founded on in exchange for a few favored programs or vague promises.

People need to stop and admit they live a nearly bankrupt and nearly Fascist country and then decide what role they have played in it and what they are going to do about it.

As, I mentioned before-- I think the Tenth Amendment route might be the fastest clearest way to stop this train. There are states and places in the country where enough broad support for individual rights and the Constitution exists. We need to work from there, to both educate and broaden this base and use it to confront the Monstrous powers in Washington.

After all, the Constitution and the founding documents of the country are on our side. If enough people scream that they really matter, and that the law matters and rights and truth matter, something might be done."

Comment Two

Well, I'm going to have to admit to living in "blue states" all my life in either NY or PA.

But my perception from my reading, interactions and occasional travels is that there really are very large chunks of the country that could almost be called "occupied territory" at this point. I mean when was the last time Wyoming, Utah or Alaska voted blue. I think we need to start from there and work to educate the people about just how deeply damaging the federal occupation of their states has been. Instead of working from positions of weakness, we can start from strength where there is already a lot of political and media support and build on that.

The starting point should be for the "occupied states" to one by one re-affirm their commitment to the original Constitution and it's tenth amendment- which in reality is an implied threat to take the clear course out of the union that the Constitution allows.

Hopefully, a chain of firm resolutions by a large number of states that seem very serious will in itself put a radical brake on things. Remember that just by taking these actions, one is calling attention to all the Constitutional and legal violations, which may help more people in other states to wake up and think deeply about what's going on. This will be hard for the media to ignore.

Remember---the Constitution and all the legal traditions of our country are on our side. Every founding document shows a clear intent to protect individuals from out of control federal power and to protect minorities from a possible tyranical majority.

We can't do this blindly so each resolution needs to state clearly the exact Federal moves that would trigger further action. For example, I think every state should declare federal limitations on free speech and the press to be an instant trigger for further action. Moves against the Second Amendment are in close to the same territory.

Racist Chinese Disrespecting Obama Again

Here in the good old USSA, where all the children have drinken deeply from the state's endless Kool aid supply, we all know that critics of Obama are driven solely by "white male rage." But what's going on overseas? First, Pravda the former voice of the Soviet Union say's we are Commies and now this...

Tim Gethner, one of a parade of officials panning the globe for spare change; while at the same time assuring everyone what a good credit risk we are; is now in China. Kool Aid seems scarce there.

A number of students laughed heartily at the bromide swill, we suck up here.

"Chinese assets are very safe," Geithner said in response to a question after a speech at Peking University, where he studied Chinese as a student in the 1980s. (refering to their holdings of U.S. Treasury and agency debt)

His answer drew loud laughter from his student audience, reflecting scepticism in China about the wisdom of a developing country accumulating a vast stockpile of foreign reserves instead of spending the money to raise living standards at home."

Comments from a former Central bank advisor, Yu Yongding were even more blunt and filled with disparaging references to American officials and their policies.

In response to Obama's current promise to cut federal deficits from close to 13% of GDP to 3, Yu said:

"It may be helpful if “Geithner can show us some arithmetic,” said Yu. “We need to know how the U.S. government can achieve this objective.”

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke gets it worse.

"Referring to the Federal Reserve “as the world’s biggest junk investor,” and to Chairman Ben S. Bernanke as “helicopter Ben,” Yu said the Fed has dropped “tons of money from the sky since the subprime crisis.”

“The balance sheet of the Federal Reserve not only has expanded like mad but is also ridden with ‘rubbish’ assets,” he said".

Are these "people of color" crazed with racist rage or just stating simple questions we all should be asking. Thankfuly the rest of the world is looking fairly and squarely at Barak Obama and judging him and his administration by the content of the character they have shown.

Why We Must End The Fed Part Two

Mish, who has a blog I really follow and respect has a good post up about the declining values of fiat currencies around the world.

Gold is near a new high again, but it's very important to understand what's going on. Gold is really very stable in value in relation to most hard assets and manufactured goods in terms of it's purchasing power. Gold is really, just money- a real store of transferable wealth that holds it's value over time. It can't be faked or printed. You either have it or you don't. Government's today don't like it since it represents the real world they are trying to evade.

When we hear about gold rising-- what we are really talking about is that our fake money is falling in relation to gold.

Mish has a great quote from Clyde Harrison at the end.

Fiat currencies don't float. They sink at varying rates

Are Asian Investors Being Racist?

OK, this is sort of tongue in cheek, but a lot of the major media and administration spin has implied that most administration critics are racists, dumb or "super rich" and have few rational reasons for opposing Obama. An extreme version of this spin can be seen here.



This then makes one wonder about the overtly critical and fearful statements coming from major figures in Asia about our economic policies. First we had major Chinese Officials saying they no longer believed we could fully pay our debts or maintain a solid currency.

And now, the major Japanese opposition party has said that if elected they would no longer buy dollar denominated U.S. Government debt. Of course there have been many other foreign critics of our policies, but some of them are white, so their views are suspect.



Remember, China invented the abacus.

March Consumer Credit Plunges

The chances this recession/depression is over are close to zero. Reuters is reporting a massive plunge in consumer borrowing showing that both borrowers and lenders are starting to realise how broke they are. As they say-- when in a hole-Stop Digging!

"March consumer credit fell at an annual rate of 5.2% to a total of $2.55 trillion. This was the biggest percentage drop since December 1990.

February's decrease was revised to $8.1 billion from an originally reported $7.5 billion drop.

Analysts polled by Reuters were expecting a $3.5 billion drop in consumer borrowing for March."

Mish as usual has a good take on this along with this chart.



Notice that until the 1980's and throughout American history, consumer credit played a small role in our economy, with most houshold purchases funded by savings and income and most credit used for business investment. This worked fine, but the Fed and it's statist pals thought we could do better and our "consumer economy was born."

We are starting to see the results. Unlike, the bulk of business investment in a free economy-- most consumer purchases do not lead to higher levels of earnings or productivity to pay off the loans. They can, for a time result in higher asset prices, providing there is more and more credit available to push up prices. But at some point, the last dollars of true savings are spent and the last solvent creditors have borrowed and the cycle goes into reverse.



Well, at least the Feds can borrow and spend for us right??? Well, I serously doubt it. Sadly, American consumers now will not only have to pay for their own mistakes but for the insane policies of our government as well.

The Real Stress Test Starts

"May 7 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks slid from a four-month high as declines in financial, telephone and technology shares snuffed out an early rally. Treasury 30-year bonds fell the most since February as investors demanded higher-than-forecast yields at an auction of $14 billion of the securities."

No doubt it's racism that's made foreign investors nervous about our national debt.