An in depth analysis of WHY YOU ARE WRONG

Showing posts with label Phony Statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Phony Statistics. Show all posts

Saturday, May 09, 2009

FYI, Could Be A Lie

People giddy over the reported loss of "only 530,000 lost jobs" might want to know about the recent revisions in reported figures.

This is very true now.

August 2008: Initially 84,000, revised to 175,000

September 2008: Initially 159,000, revised to 321,000

October 2008: Initially 240,000, revised to 380,000

November 2008: Initially 533,000, revised to 597,000

December 2008: Initially 524,000, revised to 681,000

January 2009: Initially 598,000, revised to 655,000

February 2009: Initially 651,000, revised up 30,000

Added to this are a few more issues as pointed out by Zero Hedge

Kool Aid sales still strong

"First, the "seasonal adjustment", which is a black box that can tweek me into looking like Dumbo the flying elephant. They're knocking off ±65,000 workers for no clearly discernible reason.

Second, notice that the Census Bureau hired 60,000 people last month. Those workers (by definition) are temporary, and are a net cost to the economy, as they will not be adding marginal utility to any economic sector, the census being merely a social expenditure."

No doubt unemployment has declined in Washigton DC--- hiring some security for the next TEA Party and perhaps a few jail cells for us all.

But, But, But--- The stock market is up right???

Or is it that the value of the dollar is down? One thing Washington has done well.